Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.252146 0.291539 0.336386 0.391499 0.457780 0.535393 0.633841
2025-09-28 0.189835 0.239809 0.303174 0.390606 0.510007 0.670179 0.906182
2025-10-05 0.158513 0.213437 0.288803 0.402340 0.573672 0.830478 1.260527
2025-10-12 0.136928 0.193705 0.276587 0.410588 0.630214 0.992128 1.671155
2025-10-19 0.121008 0.178287 0.266320 0.417459 0.683642 1.161094 2.156425
2025-10-26 0.109922 0.167862 0.261092 0.430108 0.748273 1.366836 2.796885
2025-11-02 0.099470 0.156583 0.252152 0.433799 0.796496 1.555013 3.486769
2025-11-09 0.090345 0.146052 0.242547 0.433886 0.837005 1.739295 4.260596
2025-11-16 0.082180 0.135997 0.232115 0.430082 0.868064 1.912228 5.100572
2025-11-23 0.074808 0.126379 0.221022 0.422712 0.889247 2.068518 5.987076
2025-11-30 0.070699 0.122149 0.219416 0.434667 0.958088 2.372754 7.565424
2025-12-07 0.064963 0.114198 0.209450 0.426565 0.975906 2.543275 8.793514
2025-12-14 0.060918 0.109141 0.204834 0.430257 1.026743 2.837806 10.802032
2025-12-21 0.056850 0.103614 0.198579 0.429140 1.065143 3.113186 13.020685
2025-12-28 0.054394 0.101035 0.198206 0.442255 1.148079 3.581344 16.776158
2026-01-04 0.051855 0.097998 0.196419 0.451489 1.222728 4.061133 21.300808
2026-01-11 0.049434 0.094947 0.194193 0.459188 1.295459 4.577104 26.943090
2026-01-18 0.047639 0.093039 0.194334 0.473370 1.394825 5.270610 35.335508
2026-01-25 0.045369 0.089866 0.191095 0.477509 1.461336 5.861769 44.310641
2026-02-01 0.043064 0.086393 0.186720 0.477607 1.513854 6.424696 54.613279
2026-02-08 0.040722 0.082626 0.181195 0.473341 1.549100 6.927190 65.897139
2026-02-15 0.038376 0.078650 0.174714 0.465075 1.566602 7.349277 77.760658
2026-02-22 0.037257 0.077419 0.175087 0.478483 1.678879 8.438712 104.688474